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Trial registered on ANZCTR
Registration number
ACTRN12620000431921
Ethics application status
Approved
Date submitted
23/09/2019
Date registered
1/04/2020
Date last updated
16/07/2021
Date data sharing statement initially provided
1/04/2020
Type of registration
Retrospectively registered
Titles & IDs
Public title
The ROX index in the Emergency Department – predicting NIV failure: a prospective observational study
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Scientific title
The ROX index in the Emergency Department – predicting NIV failure: a prospective observational study
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Secondary ID [1]
299381
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NIl known
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Universal Trial Number (UTN)
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Trial acronym
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Linked study record
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Health condition
Health condition(s) or problem(s) studied:
Shortness of breath
314551
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Condition category
Condition code
Emergency medicine
312893
312893
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0
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Resuscitation
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Respiratory
313172
313172
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0
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Other respiratory disorders / diseases
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Intervention/exposure
Study type
Observational
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Patient registry
True
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Target follow-up duration
12
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Target follow-up type
Hours
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Description of intervention(s) / exposure
Non-invasive ventilation commenced in the emergency department, as practiced by emergency department clinicians. The researchers will collect routinely recorded patient observations (such as heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturations) in addition to the routinely documented NIV settings, prospectively for any patient commenced on NIV in our ED in order to then calculate the ROX for each patient at specific time stamps. A waiver of consent has been granted from the local ethics committee as the study does not intervene in routinely delivered treatment.
Data from participants will be collected for the duration of their NIV usage, or until it is removed, or 12 hours - whichever may come first.
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Intervention code [1]
315642
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Early Detection / Screening
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Comparator / control treatment
No control group
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Control group
Uncontrolled
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Outcomes
Primary outcome [1]
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ROX index value as assessed by comparison to data from routinely collected observations and other patient variable data.
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Assessment method [1]
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Timepoint [1]
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12 hours
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Primary outcome [2]
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The utility of the ROX index to predict NIV failure, defined as progression to intubation. Intubation rates will be determined by reviewing hospital records.
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Assessment method [2]
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Timepoint [2]
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12 hours
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Secondary outcome [1]
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ROX index data linked to underlying clinical diagnosis as assessed by the final diagnosis on hospital record upon patient discharge. We hope to use the data collected to sub-categories ROX indices for specific pathologies. This will be the same prospectively collected data as already collected.
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Assessment method [1]
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Timepoint [1]
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12 hours
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Eligibility
Key inclusion criteria
This pragmatic study will include all patients aged 18 or over who are commenced on NIV for breathlessness in the ED, as judged by the treating clinician, regardless of predicted underlying pathology. Breathlessness will be defined by the treating clinician, who will routinely use subjective markers of a patient’s work of breathing as part of clinical assessment, combined with objective data on gas exchange
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Minimum age
18
Years
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Maximum age
No limit
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Sex
Both males and females
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Can healthy volunteers participate?
No
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Key exclusion criteria
Prior advanced care directive specifying ’not for intubation’
Comorbidities & disease severity where clinician/family provide limitations of care (i.e. not for intubation or ICU)
NIV utilised as a pre-oxygenation strategy with intention to intubate
Patients electively intubated for diagnostic or therapeutic procedures, such as fibreoptic bronchoscopy and surgery
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Study design
Purpose
Natural history
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Duration
Cross-sectional
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Selection
Convenience sample
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Timing
Prospective
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Statistical methods / analysis
The predictive capacity of study variables in relation to the primary outcome will be assessed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) with the ROX index being the a priori predictive variable. The area under the curve (AUROC) and its 95% confidence interval will be reported together with the Youden index for the optimal combination of sensitivity and specificity to predict the primary outcome. Cut-off values for pre-set sensitivities and specificities of 80% and 80% will be used to reflect the degree to which clinicians might accept under- and over-estimation of the predictive capacity of the candidate variable. Variables with a P value <0.2 on ROC analysis will be considered candidates for further statistical evaluation in a binary logistic regression analysis against the dependent variable. The goodness of the fit of the model will be reported by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for any independent variables will be reported. The association between the ROX index and any other independent predictors identified in the logistic regression will be further assessed by Cox proportional hazards modelling with adjustment for the candidate independent variables and reported by the hazard ratio and the 95% confidence interval.
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Recruitment
Recruitment status
Recruiting
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Date of first participant enrolment
Anticipated
1/11/2019
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Actual
18/11/2019
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Date of last participant enrolment
Anticipated
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Actual
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Date of last data collection
Anticipated
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Actual
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Sample size
Target
200
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Accrual to date
113
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Final
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Recruitment in Australia
Recruitment state(s)
NSW
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Funding & Sponsors
Funding source category [1]
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Self funded/Unfunded
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Name [1]
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Address [1]
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Country [1]
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Primary sponsor type
Hospital
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Name
Liverpool Hospital Emergency Department
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Address
Liverpool Hospital Emergency Department
Elizabeth Street
Liverpool
NSW
2170
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Country
Australia
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Secondary sponsor category [1]
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None
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Name [1]
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Address [1]
304043
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Country [1]
304043
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Ethics approval
Ethics application status
Approved
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Ethics committee name [1]
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South Western Sydney Local Health District Human Research Ethics Committee
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Ethics committee address [1]
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Research Directorate South Western Sydney Local Health District (SWSLHD) Locked Bag 7103 Liverpool BC NSW 1871
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Ethics committee country [1]
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Australia
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Date submitted for ethics approval [1]
304401
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Approval date [1]
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17/05/2019
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Ethics approval number [1]
304401
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2019/ETH09792
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Summary
Brief summary
Through the calculation of routinely collected patient data, we hope this study will demonstrate a numerical value which can be used to predict the success or failure of non-invasive ventilation. This is a form of respiratory support given to patients who are short of breath.
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Trial website
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Trial related presentations / publications
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Public notes
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Contacts
Principal investigator
Name
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Dr Samuel Bulford
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Address
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Liverpool Hospital Emergency Department
Liverpool Hospital
Elizabeth Street
Liverpool
NSW
2170
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Country
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Australia
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Phone
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+61427310338
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Fax
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Email
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[email protected]
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Contact person for public queries
Name
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Samuel Bulford
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Address
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Liverpool Hospital Emergency Department
Liverpool Hospital
Elizabeth Street
Liverpool
NSW
2170
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Country
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Australia
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Phone
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+61427310338
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Fax
96819
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Email
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[email protected]
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Contact person for scientific queries
Name
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Samuel Bulford
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Address
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Liverpool Hospital Emergency Department
Liverpool Hospital
Elizabeth Street
Liverpool
NSW
2170
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Country
96820
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Australia
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Phone
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+61 427310338
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Fax
96820
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Email
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[email protected]
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Data sharing statement
Will individual participant data (IPD) for this trial be available (including data dictionaries)?
No
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No/undecided IPD sharing reason/comment
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What supporting documents are/will be available?
No Supporting Document Provided
Doc. No.
Type
Citation
Link
Email
Other Details
Attachment
5044
Study protocol
378440-(Uploaded-23-09-2019-23-02-29)-Study-related document.docx
Results publications and other study-related documents
Documents added manually
No documents have been uploaded by study researchers.
Documents added automatically
No additional documents have been identified.
Download to PDF